One Economy, Two Realities: Understanding Today's Economic Divide

James Abbott

Nov 19, 2025

Finance·Investments·Savings·Credit·Risk Management·Retirement
One Economy, Two Realities: Understanding Today's Economic Divide

It's possible for one economy to tell two different stories. One of growth, opportunity, and abundance. Another of constraint, anxiety, and scarcity.

This isn't new. But recent economic data makes the divide unusually visible. Recognizing this divide can change how we think about (and react to) the headlines.

When Economic Signals Might Contradict

Economic indicators paint a puzzling picture. Market gains create wealth while financial stress intensifies. Corporate profits surge while consumer confidence splits. Premium markets thrive while value segments struggle.

These aren't contradictions. They're different chapters of the same story.

According to JPMorgan's latest Cost of Living Survey, there's a clear gap in how Americans are feeling about their money—and that gap is growing.

How It Shows Up in the Data

Higher-income households and lower-income families are experiencing completely different economies.

Nearly 60% of high earners say their monthly bills feel easier to manage than they did a year ago. Only 30% of lower-income consumers report the same.

This confidence gap isn't just emotional. It's showing up in corporate earnings reports across industries.

How Companies Reveal the Split

Major brands are seeing their customer base divide in real time.

Consumer goods tell an interesting story: Coca-Cola thrives with premium drinks while also seeing more demand at dollar stores. McDonald's reports visits from lower-income customers have dropped significantly. Procter & Gamble sees high earners buying in bulk while others stretch what's left.

The automotive market shows the paradox: New car prices have topped $50,000 for the first time, even as loan defaults and repossessions climb.

Travel reflects the divide: Delta's premium seats are on track to overtake coach cabin sales.

These patterns aren't just market quirks. They reflect a deeper reality.

The Wealth Concentration Behind the Split

Asset values—homes, stocks, business equity—have experienced significant growth in recent years. Federal Reserve data captures the magnitude: Since 2020, Americans have gained more than $55 trillion in wealth.

But those gains haven't reached everyone equally.

The wealthiest 10% of Americans hold approximately 9 out of every 10 invested dollars. When markets rally, this group captures almost all the gains. When asset prices rise, their net worth multiplies.

Meanwhile, households depending primarily on wages face rising costs for basics—groceries, gas, rent—that consume a larger portion of their budgets. With credit still expensive, borrowing isn't a safety net but can be an additional burden.

Picture the Economy Like Two Escalators

Imagine two escalators running side by side.

One carries wealthier Americans higher, lifted by stock market gains and confident spending.

The other pulls middle- and lower-income households in a different direction, strained by rising prices and limited savings.

Both escalators exist in the same economy. Both experiences are real. But the view from each looks completely different.

Why This Pattern Matters

This divergence isn't a temporary anomaly. It's a structural feature of how wealth can accumulate differently through assets versus wages.

Those with investment portfolios can benefit from market appreciation and compound growth.

Those relying solely on wages face natural constraints. Income grows linearly at best, often lagging behind the cost of essentials.

What This Means for Financial Planning

Understanding this divide reshapes how we think about financial strategies.

The economy isn't simply "good" or "bad"—it's complex, divided, and full of differing realities. Your financial situation exists somewhere on the spectrum between these two extremes.

Moving Forward with Perspective

This moment doesn't require panic. It requires perspective.

The two-track economy is a reality playing out in earnings reports, consumer behavior, and the daily lives of millions of Americans. Understanding where you stand—and why—provides context for making informed decisions.

Whatever your position in this economy, thoughtful planning starts with recognizing not just the headlines, but the deeper patterns shaping financial outcomes.

The questions worth asking aren't about which escalator you're on today, but about understanding the landscape well enough to plan for it effectively.

Sources:

Five Star Professional Disclosure: James W. Abbott is awarded The FIVE STAR Wealth Manager Award in the Wealth Management Category, based on 10 objective criteria associated with providing quality services to clients such as credentials, experience, and assets under management among other factors. Wealth managers do not pay a fee to be considered or placed on the final list of 2023 Five Star Wealth Managers. The inclusion of a wealth manager on The FIVE STAR Wealth Manager Award list should not be construed as an endorsement of the wealth nor should it be inferred that the responses used from the survey represent the experience of any clients. This award does not evaluate the quality of service provided and the wealth manager may have had unfavorable ratings. The rating is not indicative of the wealth manager's future performance. Five Star Professional conducts market-specific research to identify service professionals who provide quality services to their clients. Five Star Professional joins forces with city and regional magazines to make the research results available to consumers in more than 45 markets across the United States and Canada. Five Star Professional was founded in 2003 and is based in Minneapolis, MN. For more information, go to: www.FiveStarProfessional.com.

Claro Advisors LLC ("Claro") is a Registered Investment Advisor with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") based in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Registration of an Investment Advisor does not imply any specific level of skill or training. Information contained herein is for educational purposes only and is not to be considered investment advice. Claro provides individualized advice only after obtaining all necessary background information from a client. Disclosures and Terms of Use.

© 2025 Claro Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.